Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Close 12/31/2026 · 12:00:00 AM · Probability 10.0% · Volume 3,160.857 · Market ↗

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? · Market timeline chart

2027? (10% Yes)
Volume
Probability (%)VolumeTime0%25%50%75%100%07901.6K2.4K3.2KMar 24, 11:14 PMMar 27, 9:26 PMMar 30, 7:37 PMApr 2, 5:48 PMApr 5, 4:00 PMApr 2, 8:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 10:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 12:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 2:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 4:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 6:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 8:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 2, 10:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 12:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 2:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 4:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 6:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 8:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 10:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 12:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 2:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 4:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 6:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 8:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 3, 10:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 12:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 2:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 4:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 6:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 8:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 10:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 12:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 2:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 4:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 6:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 8:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 4, 10:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 12:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 2:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 4:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 6:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 8:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 10:00 AM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 12:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 2:00 PM | volume 3.2KApr 5, 4:00 PM | volume 3.2K2027? | latest 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 10.0% Yes2027? | 4/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 10.0% YesS4S4 | OpenAI's Fidji Simo takes medical leave, announces leadership changes | raw: 4/3/2026, 8:21:29 PM | aligned: 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PME2E2 | OpenAI’s Top Executive Fidji Simo to Take Medical Leave From Company | raw: 4/3/2026, 7:26:00 PM | aligned: 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PME1E1 | 'Chasing vibes' — OpenAI's M&A strategy gets more confusing with TBPN purchase | raw: 4/3/2026, 12:00:01 PM | aligned: 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PMS3S3 | OpenAI closes record $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation, opens door to retail investors for the first time | raw: 3/31/2026, 9:38:20 PM | aligned: 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PMS2S2 | Why SoftBank’s new $40B loan points to a 2026 OpenAI IPO | 3/27/2026, 9:44:45 PMS1S1 | OpenAI to shut down Sora 15 months after launch amid cost-cutting push | 3/24/2026, 11:14:41 PM

Colored lines: top market outcomes. Blue area: volume. Green markers: related storylines. Amber tags: evidence items.

Storyline markers
S4OpenAI's Fidji Simo takes medical leave, announces leadership changes | raw 4/3/2026, 8:21:29 PM -> aligned 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM Storyline detail
S3OpenAI closes record $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation, opens door to retail investors for the first time | raw 3/31/2026, 9:38:20 PM -> aligned 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM Storyline detail
S2Why SoftBank’s new $40B loan points to a 2026 OpenAI IPO | 3/27/2026, 9:44:45 PM Storyline detail
S1OpenAI to shut down Sora 15 months after launch amid cost-cutting push | 3/24/2026, 11:14:41 PM Storyline detail
Evidence markers
E2OpenAI’s Top Executive Fidji Simo to Take Medical Leave From Company | raw 4/3/2026, 7:26:00 PM -> aligned 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM Source ↗
E1'Chasing vibes' — OpenAI's M&A strategy gets more confusing with TBPN purchase | raw 4/3/2026, 12:00:01 PM -> aligned 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM Source ↗
Market context

Signal log

  • Storyline: OpenAI's Fidji Simo takes medical leave, announces leadership changes | 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM | Storyline detail
  • Evidence: OpenAI’s Top Executive Fidji Simo to Take Medical Leave From Company | 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM | Source ↗
  • Evidence: 'Chasing vibes' — OpenAI's M&A strategy gets more confusing with TBPN purchase | 4/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM | Source ↗
  • Storyline: OpenAI closes record $122 billion round at $852 billion valuation, opens door to retail investors for the first time | 3/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM | Storyline detail
  • Storyline: Why SoftBank’s new $40B loan points to a 2026 OpenAI IPO | 3/27/2026, 9:44:45 PM | Storyline detail
  • Storyline: OpenAI to shut down Sora 15 months after launch amid cost-cutting push | 3/24/2026, 11:14:41 PM | Storyline detail