AWS service disrupted by April 30?

Close 4/30/2026 · 12:00:00 AM · Probability 60.0% · Volume 2,296.157 · Market ↗

AWS service disrupted by April 30? · Market timeline chart

30? (60% Yes)
Volume
Probability (%)VolumeTime0%25%50%75%100%05741.1K1.7K2.3KMar 29, 5:00 PMMar 31, 10:45 AMApr 2, 4:30 AMApr 3, 10:15 PMApr 5, 4:00 PMMar 29, 5:00 PM | volume 666Mar 29, 6:00 PM | volume 666Mar 29, 7:00 PM | volume 698Mar 29, 8:00 PM | volume 698Mar 29, 9:00 PM | volume 698Mar 29, 10:00 PM | volume 698Mar 29, 11:00 PM | volume 698Mar 30, 12:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 1:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 2:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 3:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 4:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 5:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 6:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 7:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 8:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 9:00 AM | volume 698Mar 30, 10:00 AM | volume 730Mar 30, 11:00 AM | volume 730Mar 30, 12:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 1:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 2:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 3:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 4:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 5:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 6:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 7:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 8:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 9:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 10:00 PM | volume 730Mar 30, 11:00 PM | volume 730Mar 31, 12:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 1:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 2:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 3:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 5:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 6:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 7:00 AM | volume 730Mar 31, 9:00 AM | volume 737Mar 31, 10:00 AM | volume 737Mar 31, 11:00 AM | volume 737Mar 31, 12:00 PM | volume 737Mar 31, 1:00 PM | volume 737Mar 31, 2:00 PM | volume 737Mar 31, 3:00 PM | volume 737Mar 31, 4:00 PM | volume 740Mar 31, 5:00 PM | volume 740Mar 31, 6:00 PM | volume 740Mar 31, 8:00 PM | volume 740Mar 31, 10:00 PM | volume 740Apr 1, 12:00 AM | volume 740Apr 1, 2:00 AM | volume 805Apr 1, 4:00 AM | volume 815Apr 1, 6:00 AM | volume 815Apr 1, 8:00 AM | volume 887Apr 1, 10:00 AM | volume 887Apr 1, 12:00 PM | volume 887Apr 1, 2:00 PM | volume 887Apr 1, 4:00 PM | volume 887Apr 1, 6:00 PM | volume 887Apr 1, 8:00 PM | volume 887Apr 1, 10:00 PM | volume 887Apr 2, 12:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 2:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 4:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 6:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 8:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 10:00 AM | volume 887Apr 2, 12:00 PM | volume 887Apr 2, 2:00 PM | volume 887Apr 2, 4:00 PM | volume 887Apr 2, 6:00 PM | volume 1.5KApr 2, 8:00 PM | volume 1.5KApr 2, 10:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 12:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 2:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 4:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 6:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 8:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 10:00 AM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 12:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 2:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 4:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 6:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 8:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 3, 10:00 PM | volume 2.0KApr 4, 12:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 2:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 4:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 6:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 8:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 10:00 AM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 12:00 PM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 2:00 PM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 4:00 PM | volume 2.1KApr 4, 6:00 PM | volume 2.2KApr 4, 8:00 PM | volume 2.2KApr 4, 10:00 PM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 12:00 AM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 2:00 AM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 4:00 AM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 6:00 AM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 8:00 AM | volume 2.2KApr 5, 10:00 AM | volume 2.3KApr 5, 12:00 PM | volume 2.3KApr 5, 2:00 PM | volume 2.3KApr 5, 4:00 PM | volume 2.3K30? | latest 60.0% YesE2E2 | Hackers breached the European Commission by poisoning the security tool it used to protect itself | raw: 4/4/2026, 1:45:16 PM | aligned: 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PME1E1 | AWS Korea commits $4.5b to AI cloud, security push | raw: 3/31/2026, 5:05:32 AM | aligned: 3/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Colored lines: top market outcomes. Blue area: volume. Green markers: related storylines. Amber tags: evidence items.

Evidence markers
E2Hackers breached the European Commission by poisoning the security tool it used to protect itself | raw 4/4/2026, 1:45:16 PM -> aligned 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM Source ↗
E1AWS Korea commits $4.5b to AI cloud, security push | raw 3/31/2026, 5:05:32 AM -> aligned 3/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM Source ↗
Market context

Signal log

  • Evidence: Hackers breached the European Commission by poisoning the security tool it used to protect itself | 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM | Source ↗
  • Evidence: AWS Korea commits $4.5b to AI cloud, security push | 3/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM | Source ↗