Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Close 4/30/2026 · 12:00:00 AM · Probability 10.0% · Volume 49,015.794 · Market ↗

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon? · Market timeline chart

Pentagon? (10% Yes)
Volume
Probability (%)VolumeTime0%25%50%75%100%012.3K24.5K36.8K49.0KMar 27, 12:14 AMMar 29, 10:10 AMMar 31, 8:07 PMApr 3, 6:03 AMApr 5, 4:00 PMMar 29, 5:00 PM | volume 43.0KMar 29, 6:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 29, 7:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 29, 8:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 29, 9:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 29, 10:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 29, 11:00 PM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 12:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 1:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 2:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 3:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 4:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 5:00 AM | volume 43.2KMar 30, 6:00 AM | volume 43.4KMar 30, 7:00 AM | volume 43.4KMar 30, 8:00 AM | volume 43.4KMar 30, 9:00 AM | volume 43.4KMar 30, 10:00 AM | volume 43.6KMar 30, 11:00 AM | volume 43.6KMar 30, 12:00 PM | volume 43.6KMar 30, 1:00 PM | volume 44.1KMar 30, 2:00 PM | volume 44.7KMar 30, 3:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 4:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 5:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 6:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 7:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 8:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 9:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 10:00 PM | volume 45.1KMar 30, 11:00 PM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 12:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 1:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 2:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 3:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 4:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 5:00 AM | volume 45.3KMar 31, 6:00 AM | volume 45.4KMar 31, 7:00 AM | volume 45.4KMar 31, 8:00 AM | volume 45.4KMar 31, 9:00 AM | volume 45.5KMar 31, 10:00 AM | volume 45.5KMar 31, 11:00 AM | volume 45.5KMar 31, 12:00 PM | volume 45.5KMar 31, 1:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 2:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 3:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 4:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 5:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 6:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 8:00 PM | volume 45.6KMar 31, 10:00 PM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 12:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 2:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 4:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 6:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 8:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 10:00 AM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 12:00 PM | volume 45.6KApr 1, 2:00 PM | volume 46.2KApr 1, 4:00 PM | volume 46.2KApr 1, 6:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 1, 8:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 1, 10:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 12:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 2:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 4:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 6:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 8:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 10:00 AM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 12:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 2:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 4:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 6:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 8:00 PM | volume 46.3KApr 2, 10:00 PM | volume 46.4KApr 3, 12:00 AM | volume 46.5KApr 3, 2:00 AM | volume 46.5KApr 3, 4:00 AM | volume 46.5KApr 3, 6:00 AM | volume 46.5KApr 3, 8:00 AM | volume 46.6KApr 3, 10:00 AM | volume 47.2KApr 3, 12:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 3, 2:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 3, 4:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 3, 6:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 3, 8:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 3, 10:00 PM | volume 47.8KApr 4, 12:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 2:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 4:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 6:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 8:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 10:00 AM | volume 47.9KApr 4, 12:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 4, 2:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 4, 4:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 4, 6:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 4, 8:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 4, 10:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 12:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 2:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 4:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 6:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 8:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 10:00 AM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 12:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 2:00 PM | volume 49.0KApr 5, 4:00 PM | volume 49.0KPentagon? | latest 10.0% YesE3E3 | For crypto miners turned AI stars, the real test is about to come | raw: 4/5/2026, 10:43:01 AM | aligned: 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 AME2E2 | Anthropic to restrict Claude Code use with third-party tools | raw: 4/4/2026, 5:01:40 PM | aligned: 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 PME1E1 | It's no longer free to use Claude through third-party tools like OpenClaw | raw: 4/4/2026, 4:09:12 PM | aligned: 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 PMS2S2 | Leaked Anthropic Model Presents 'Unprecedented Cybersecurity Risks,' Much to Pentagon's Pleasure | 3/27/2026, 6:27:12 PMS1S1 | Federal judge temporarily blocks the Pentagon from branding AI firm Anthropic a supply chain risk | 3/27/2026, 12:14:14 AM

Colored lines: top market outcomes. Blue area: volume. Green markers: related storylines. Amber tags: evidence items.

Storyline markers
S2Leaked Anthropic Model Presents 'Unprecedented Cybersecurity Risks,' Much to Pentagon's Pleasure | 3/27/2026, 6:27:12 PM Storyline detail
S1Federal judge temporarily blocks the Pentagon from branding AI firm Anthropic a supply chain risk | 3/27/2026, 12:14:14 AM Storyline detail
Evidence markers
E3For crypto miners turned AI stars, the real test is about to come | raw 4/5/2026, 10:43:01 AM -> aligned 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM Source ↗
E2Anthropic to restrict Claude Code use with third-party tools | raw 4/4/2026, 5:01:40 PM -> aligned 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM Source ↗
E1It's no longer free to use Claude through third-party tools like OpenClaw | raw 4/4/2026, 4:09:12 PM -> aligned 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM Source ↗
Market context

Signal log

  • Evidence: For crypto miners turned AI stars, the real test is about to come | 4/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM | Source ↗
  • Evidence: Anthropic to restrict Claude Code use with third-party tools | 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM | Source ↗
  • Evidence: It's no longer free to use Claude through third-party tools like OpenClaw | 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM | Source ↗
  • Storyline: Leaked Anthropic Model Presents 'Unprecedented Cybersecurity Risks,' Much to Pentagon's Pleasure | 3/27/2026, 6:27:12 PM | Storyline detail
  • Storyline: Federal judge temporarily blocks the Pentagon from branding AI firm Anthropic a supply chain risk | 3/27/2026, 12:14:14 AM | Storyline detail